The number of “undecideds” in California only two weeks before the big November election is huge. We're acting like kids with a bucket full of Halloween candy. Except this is serious business.
According to the latest poll by the Public Policy Institute of California 16 percent of likely voters haven't chosen between Jerry Brown and Meg Whitman for governor. And for U.S. Senate (Barbara Boxer versus Carly Fiorina) the number is 13 percent.
Alex Evans, founder of EMC Research, a public opinion and market intel firm, says the number of undecided voters doesn't bode well for Democrats and incumbents.
“I think it's troublesome for Democrats,” he told the Weekly. “You have well known commodities in Boxer and Brown, and they're both well under 50 points in the poll.”
(Brown is shown beating Whitman 44 percent to 36 percent; Boxer is ahead of Fiorina 43 percent to 38 percent).
“Given how unhappy people are they'll vote against the incumbent, and Jerry is more like one than not,” Evans said.
Jennifer E. Duffy, senior editor of the Cook Political Report, says the number of undecideds in the Senate race is a black cloud for Boxer's attempt to keep her seat in the face of Republican Fiorina's challenge.
“I look at this and say Boxer's got a problem,” Duffy told the Weekly. “An incumbent at 43 percent is dangerous because the undecideds almost never break for the incumbent.”