We're calling it:
Buck McKeon (R) of Bakersfield is your next representative for California Congressional District 25. He beat opponent Jackie Conaway (D) by a landslide.
*OK, so we fibbed in the headline. The final results aren't in and the polls haven't closed. But thanks to sleazy incumbent fixing of elections in California — the Weekly explains gerrymandering here — the new crop of California Congressmen was chosen months ago.
Of the 18 congressional seats in L.A. County up for contention this November, 13 will be filled by Democratic shoo-ins. The other five will be Republican shoo-ins — in stuffy districts like Palmdale and Bakersfield, unsurprisingly.
In the whole of California, political experts agree that a measly 10 of 153 total races for the state Senate, Assembly and the House of Representatives were close enough to even call a contest.
Of 80 Assembly seats, about half a dozen saw hot races, while only one of 20 Senate seats and one of the 53 House seats hosted any competition at all. Of those, most were in the Central Valley; L.A. was at a virtual standstill, with the vague exception of California State Assembly District 36.
2010's snore of a state race has more than a little to do with incumbent gerrymandering — currently up for re-haul if Prop. 20 passes, creating a citizen commission to draw California's congressional voting districts. (Prop. 27 would keep things as they are.)
In L.A. County, though, where reps are so overwhelmingly Democrat, new district lines could mean a swing to the conservative side. Until then, meet the Class of 2010 — virtually identical to the Class of 2009.