You may have seen the new Survey USA robo-poll out this morning, which purports to show Wendy Greuel up three points in the race for L.A. mayor.
This poll is bogus and contrary to every public and private survey we've seen. Everyone knows that robo call polls are inaccurate. In fact, ABC's polling director Gary Langer was quoted in the Hill Newspaper in 2011 saying, “We don't regard autodialed, pre-recorded polls as valid and reliable survey research.” The Survey USA poll is misleading and projects a 63% turnout which would nearly triple the voter turnout from previous municipal elections.
Today, shockingly, the Greuel campaign feels much better about Survey USA. In a fundraising email, campaign manager Janelle Erickson touted the “great news” in the survey, which she said shows “Wendy has the momentum.”
“The poll is not real and conflicts with every other public poll in 2013,” said Garcetti spokesman Jeff Millman, “except for one other Survey USA poll the day before the primary, when they were 7 (!) points wrong and Garcetti won by 4 points.”