Overturning Proposition 8: In 2010 or 2012?
Proposition 8, last year's successful ballot initiative overturning
the existing right of gays to marry in California, was largely financed
by out-of-state money and represented a resounding defeat for the cause
of same-sex marriage here. Precisely, however, when Prop 8 opponents
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finished licking their wounds and began gearing up to place their own
counter-initiative on next year's ballot, fissures are appearing everywhere within the home team.
A June L.A. Times poll
of registered voters showed blacks to be decisively opposed to gay
marriage, renewing anxiety among same-sex marriage forces about the
attitudes of nonwhites toward the issue. Then the American Foundation for Equal Rights accused
the Lambda Legal, the National Center for Lesbian Rights and the ACLU
of trying to horn in on its federal lawsuit to overturn Prop 8, and
rebuffed the three groups' offer to participate in the suit.
About this same time in early July, Jasmyne Cannick, a prominent Los Angeles African American lesbian blogger, complained about gay whites coming into the black community to round up anti-Prop 8 ballot support through African American proxies.
"Equality California," Cannick wrote, "one of those predominately white gay marriage
groups that screwed up royally on Proposition 8, is opening up an
office in Inglewood and beginning canvassing and mobilizing efforts in
the area, including Baldwin Hills. Although, I seriously doubt they'll
be canvassing in the Jungles, they're more interested in the voters at
the top of the hill, if you know what I am saying."
this weren't enough, the national office of the Southern Christian
Leadership Conference took steps to remove the Rev. Eric P. Lee as
president of the group's Los Angeles chapter because of his highly
visible opposition to Prop 8. The Rev. Lee is also a member of Clergy and Laity United for Economic Justice, a Los Angeles group often allied with union organizing campaigns, especially in efforts to organize L.A. security guards.
This was followed on July 13 by "Prepare to Prevail," a statement
from black, Latino and Asian gay groups in Los Angeles that said they
were not willing to prematurely rush into a 2010 same-sex marriage
campaign. Wealthy anti-Prop 8 donor David Bohnett was quoted by the New York Times as saying, "The only thing worse than losing in 2008 would be to lose again in 2010."
Similarly describing this new, cautious attitude, an L.A. Times piece
quoted Jim Key, from the L.A. Gay and Lesbian Center, who "worried that
a 2010 political campaign might tap the same donors that service
organizations rely on to fund HIV care, services for homeless youths
and other programs at a time when, because of the economy, those
programs are needed the most."
The reasons for this caution are harsh and undeniable. An enormous
amount of money must be raised within about 16 months of a November,
2010 election, and polling figures do not suggest a groundswell of new
support for gay marriage among Californians. (The 2008 campaign cost
both sides $83 million, with slightly more than half being raised by
anti-Prop 8 forces.) There are also fears that a hastily devised
campaign could, if defeated, really set back the cause of gay marriage,
whereas a carefully crafted and organized effort aimed at the 2012
election might have a better chance of success. (Then again, all those
African Americans who came out to vote for Barack Obama last year will
be back in 2012 to re-elect him, so such a campaign will have to be
The L.A. Times piece described Ron Buckmire, president of the
black gay Jordan/Rustin Coalition, wearily recounting one long day of
canvassing in South L.A. that got only 50 residents to claim their
support for a new initiative.
"We have to move 300,000 voters," a resigned Buckmire was quoted as
saying. "You do the math." The statement was all the more poignant
because Buckmire heads the group Jasmyne Cannick accused of
carpetbagging -- and which helped draft "Prepare to Prevail."
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