Barbara Boxer Camp's Internal Hysteria Meter Cools: Field Poll Shows California Senator Leads Carly Fiorina 8 Points And Independent Voters Rule
All the internal hysteria that's periodically gripped the Barbara Boxer camp as California's longtime U.S. Senate ice maiden came closer than ever to losing her seat? It can probably be set aside.
Anything can happen November 2, 2010. But today's Field Poll shows Boxer adding two percentage points to lead Carly Fiorina by eight points. Field had Babs and Carly tied in March, Babs by three in July, and Babs by six in September.
But here's the more fascinating nugget in the Field Poll which you can peruse here:
Quoting from the poll:
The incumbent benefits from the fact that the poll suggests that Democrats will outnumber Republicans by about five percentage points among all voters statewide next week.
CSUN Mens Soccer
TicketsSat., Oct. 29, 7:00pm
Los Angeles Clippers v Utah JAzz - Verified Resale Tickets
TicketsSun., Oct. 30, 1:30pm
Los Angeles Clippers v Phoenix Suns - Verified Resale Tickets
TicketsMon., Oct. 31, 7:30pm
UCLA Bruins Men's Basketball
TicketsTue., Nov. 1, 7:30pm
Think about that. That means a huge Republican turnout and a weak Democratic turnout.
Whaddaya mean? Well, Democrats far outnumber Republicans in California.
Yet the Field polling is showing Republicans will only be outnumbered by Dems next week at the polls by five percentage points.
So now you see why the 20 to 25 percent of Californians who are "decline to state" or "independent" are the big swing voting powerhouse.
With Democrats and Republicans only 5 percentage points apart in numbers at the polls (and assuming a similar breakdown in absentee ballots), the decline to states will decide a lot of things next Tuesday.
Get the ICYMI: Today's Top Stories
Catch up on the day's news and stay informed with our daily digest of the most popular news, music, food and arts stories in Los Angeles, delivered to your inbox Monday through Friday.