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Zev Yaroslavsky Will Replace Antonio Villaraigosa as Mayor, Experts Predict

If Zev runs, he’s the man to beat in 2013

Klink gives him a 6. Caruso has "the ability to write himself a big check" and he's an "accomplished businessman who has served on city commissions." He can fix the budget and deal with unions. Critics will do heavy research into his career: "Business isn't always clean and neat."

Regalado gives him a 6. He says Caruso's "a contender" who has "pretty broad name recognition." He may have problems working with the City Council on the budget: "He's all about the bottom line. Any super-rich developer will have a tough time with the council." Critics will say Caruso prefers a top-down management style and can't "run the city by edict."

Riordan gives him a 9. "He's wealthy, so he can put money into the campaign. He's very brilliant and gregarious." He can fix the budget: "If he can reach the public, then the unions will know he's someone they'll have to deal with."

South gives him a 3. "The demographics [in L.A.] make it very difficult for someone who's identified as a Republican." Remember that "Riordan hit a window that's just not there for Caruso" — the post-riot desire for dramatic change. He'll have trouble on budgets: "It's not clear to me that a Republican has the ability to deal with the public unions." Critics will probe his developer background, "a huge liability."

Eric Garcetti was elected to the City Council in 2001 and became its president in 2006. A committed environmentalist who is widely liked, Garcetti is the son of former District Attorney Gil Garcetti and was a Rhodes scholar. He has acquired significant baggage as City Council president. The L.A. Times outed him for failing to make public a report revealing that a 2009 solar-energy plan would cost taxpayers $2 billion more than claimed. He shares with Perry and Greuel a track record of chronic council missteps, such as allowing a proliferation of digital and illegal billboards and medical marijuana shops. He pushed through the 2010 vote to close all 73 city libraries twice weekly. A Navy reservist, he lives in Echo Park with his wife. He is of Italian and Mexican descent, and speaks Spanish. There's talk that if U.S. Rep. Henry Waxman retires, Garcetti may run for his spot.

Garcetti is tied for fourth in the field of eight.

Gilliam gives him a 7. He is "positively regarded by most people," but "I don't know if he has the fire in the belly for a dogfight" like the mayoral race. He has the skills to fix the budget and deal with unions, but critics will target "the weakness of his record: no real, major accomplishments." He may have problems raising money in a field of candidates also looking to the labor union/developer axis for cash.

Kaye gives him a 1. "He's responsible for the state of city government — he's the City Council president." He can't handle budgetary problems or the unions: "Eric hasn't done it during his many years on the council." Critics will target his handling of L.A.'s economic crisis. Garcetti is "likable and comes across dripping with sincerity." But like Villaraigosa, "He'll continue the coalition of contractors and developers that control City Hall."

Klink gives him a 7. He describes Garcetti as "one of the smartest people to run for 2013." Also, "He's very charismatic." He will raise money from trial lawyers, labor unions, environmentalists and developers.

Regalado gives him a 6. Garcetti has "name recognition and is seen as smart." Yet, "Nobody knows how well he'll run in all parts of the city." Critics may call him "indecisive." He'll raise funds from environmentalists, developers and labor unions.

Riordan gives him a 3. "The public wants a strong mayor, and he will not be seen as a strong leader." He can't handle the budget: "He's too much in bed with the unions." He says Garcetti must avoid repeating Villaraigosa's "narcissism of having to look good rather than getting things done."

South gives him a 6. "He's a very engaging, very, very smart guy." But critics will target his record. "He's had to make a lot of decisions as [council] president — and that's extra baggage." He's a "good fundraiser," but developers and unions may give to his rivals as well.

Wendy Greuel is the self-described "pothole queen" who succeeded the better-known Laura Chick as city controller. She graduated from UCLA and worked for Mayor Tom Bradley and the Clinton administration. In 1997, she joined DreamWorks' government and community affairs office. She was elected to the City Council in 2002 from the San Fernando Valley. The affable Greuel has made few enemies, but she's a close ally of Villaraigosa's. A debate continues over whether she is as tough as Chick: During the 2010 DWP debacle, when the city utility refused to transfer $73 million to plug a hole in the city budget, comments by Greuel and Villaraigosa helped fuel national coverage of L.A. reeling out of control. Married with a son, Greuel wants to be L.A.'s first woman mayor.

Greuel is second in the field of eight.

Gilliam gives her a 6: "She's well-liked and has a good reputation." But, "I just don't know if she has enough name recognition to be a player." If Yaroslavsky runs, "he has a lot of her territory" in the Valley. Critics will say she's "not really made a big enough mark."

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31 comments
JamesDromo
JamesDromo

The only way for the people of Los Angeles to take over their city is Elect YJ Draiman for Mayor We should demonstrate in the streets, to wake up the masses, to expose the truth, to prove that the current administration has destroyed our city's economic vitality. Draiman is the only candidate at this time that could unite the city of Los Angeles, who could appeal to all the political parties, with a program that could look to the future and focus Los Angeles on its purposes. Draiman has the right chemistry to bridge the gap and unify our city for the common good. We should give Draiman a chance - try it you will like it. The people of Los Angeles will be the better under the leadership of YJ Draiman. A corruptive and corrosive power could exist and be nurtured by the peoples apathy. Therefore to change, the people must overcome the apathy and vote their conscience. This is the only way a change for the better will occur in Los Angeles. James D

Draiman Draiman
Draiman Draiman

Americas financial sustainability begins with Made in America

Americans must wake up and take action to protect our liberty and way of life.

America must rejuvenate itself and become the huge industrial power it once was.

It starts by re-inventing the wheel and building manufacturing facilities in the United States that employ Americans who produce quality goods at a competitive price with space age technology and modernization.

Organized workforce and benefits has to be revamped to meet today's economic conditions.

Government and its bureaucracy must be reduced and streamlined. Rules and regulations must be revamped to be conducive to business growth and development.This is a must in order to increase employment and bring back America’s economic vitality. We could try to give tax incentives for products made in America. It brings revenues and employment, reduces financial drain on the government.

"It is cheaper to save energy than make energy"

YJ Draiman for Mayor of Los Angeles

YJ Draiman
YJ Draiman

Draiman - My quest to restore Leadership, Experience and Integrity to City Hall

YJ Draiman Candidate for Mayor of Los Angeles (2013)

I’m not a politician. You won’t get politically correct doublespeak from me, just the plain facts. The plain facts are often disturbing and as a NC Board Member I’ve never been shy from revealing the sometimes ugly truth about the way the City functions.

Career politicians like the current have no interest in serving the public; rather, they use public office to serve their own interests and those of the small but wealthy cadre of greedy “special interests” who fund their campaigns in return for favors when decisions over controversial matters such as billboards and development have to be made by elected officials.

All too often, the City Council’s actions support the special interests at the expense of the interests of the ordinary people like you and me.

When common sense dictates that our already over-congested streets should not be further burdened by more high-density luxury condominium developments, current elected official’s side with the developers and contractors who funnel campaign contributions to further their interests. We need a Los Angeles with Financial Sustainability that is my goal.

My pledge is for a “City of Los Angeles for the people” not for the politicians and special interests.

Draiman for Mayor of Los Angeles 2013

Nacount
Nacount

With the exception of Mr. Caruso, who has a business acumen and a body of work that has enhanced the quality of life of many Angelenos, this sad cast of characters makes one yearn for the days of Jim Hahn.

geewhiz
geewhiz

Come on Laura Chick-- see what's happening here! You really need to get in the race.

Lagriz
Lagriz

If you want a sample of Yaroslavsky's leadership, look no further than the Music Center and Dorothy Chandler Pavillion....crumbling, dirty, neglected.....a metaphor for Los Angeles.

Eliot Ness
Eliot Ness

Apparently, the Unions are the one's who actually decide who will become Mayor of LA. I am so enthusiastic and confident that these Unions will choose the candidate who is Highly Ethical, Fiscally Responsible, and prepared to make the tough decisions when it comes to budget cuts. Thanks Unions.

Robert
Robert

I have to come to the defense of Patrick. LA Weekly was the only one as I recall that actually did a story when Kevin James came out and stated he was gay. This paper also has done more stories on Prop 8. I give Kevin tons of credit for jumping in the race although I support another candidates.

Jester's Tear in California
Jester's Tear in California

Not that I know much about Kevin James but I'll call the question, So the LA Weekly has a problem with gay people running for election? Or is it strictly a personal attack from Patrick Range McDonald? I think I have been personally offended by this article and it shows bias to certain candidates as well as hatred toward others. Maybe anyone that is gay should consider asking for their money back from the LA Weekly and pull their subscription. I mean honestly, a paper that usually defends the rights of the every day person has suddenly put out divisive unsubstantiated comments, without provocation and making such an accusation. I'll be sharing this article with all the people I know. We will see if it goes unnoticed. This is just wrong in so many ways and shows the true colors of LA Weekly.

Patrick Range McDonald
Patrick Range McDonald

Hi Jester's Tear,

Exactly how is the article a personal attack on Kevin James and/or gay people running for office? And exactly how does the article show a bias towards certain candidates? The experts, none of whom took jabs at James' sexual orientation, said what they said about his political chances, and we reported that. You never say exactly what the "divisive unsubstantiated comments" are--probably because there aren't any.

In addition, L.A. Weekly has extensively covered gay rights and the gay rights movement. I'm openly gay myself. I'm perplexed by your comment, which, interestingly enough, is much more unsubstantiated than anything in the feature story.

Take care,Patrick Range McDonald,LA Weekly

Basqueroots
Basqueroots

Sorry to say, Zev doesn't appear to strongly support the citizens & legal immigrants before any others, as he should. For that reason alone, I'd consider other candidates first. Zev, sir, still waiting for you to answer my questions. I hope my opinion is wrong.

Eliot Ness
Eliot Ness

Aren't citizens and "legal immigrants" synonymous?

Ron H
Ron H

Zev is not going to be better. He loves taxes too.

Dub LA
Dub LA

When Yaroslavsky was on the city council, his district experienced the largest development in the history of the Westside. His backside has so many developers hands competing for space, everytime he walks a new building permit falls out! He's a complete sell out and will only worsen LA's budget woes ala Villaraigosa. God help us if he's elected!

Mary Cummins
Mary Cummins

Great article, Patrick. Very well written. It will be very interesting to see how this plays out.

Victor
Victor

Zev Yaroslavsky has been around for decades. These long term politicians have not done a good job as we witness current conditions. It is time to elect a new candidate for mayor to save this city. Look hard at the party that has been running this city from the council to the mayor and ask yourself if you want this current environment to coninue.

Rick Abrams
Rick Abrams

Zev would be a terrible mayor. Here's why:

(1) He is very bright(2) he is very honest

Intelligence and honesty disqualify anyone to be L.A.'s mayor.

Victor
Victor

Kevin James knows local politics he talks about it every night for years on his radio program @ 12AM on KRLA 870 AM. He is by far the best candidate for Mayor of Los Angeles. Listen to his program and support him.

Billypollina
Billypollina

Not sure six partisan mouth-pieces is the best way to determine who makes the best candidate for mayor but a good article regardless. Deep bank accounts won't get one a win (see Fiorina or Whitman) but a strong name recognition always helps in status obsessed LA. My guess is Garcetti has a much better chance than what is speculated here.

Patrick Range McDonald
Patrick Range McDonald

Hi Billy,

We talked about this earlier, but exactly who's partisan? Yes, Riordan endorsed Beutner two weeks after I interviewed him, but blogger and newspaperman Ron Kaye, UCLA professor Frank Gilliam, and Cal State LA professor Jaime Regalado are hardly partisan. Political strategists Garry South and Matt Klink also do not have outright allegiances to anyone, and their analysis shows that. Garcetti took a hit by the experts, so I can understand why you're disappointed with what they said about him. But, to me, the panel did a good job of telling it as it is. Hope you're well!

Patrick Range McDonald,LA Weekly

Rick Abrams
Rick Abrams

Yes, Eric has the best chance -- the two best qualities to be mayor in L.A. are --

Corrupt and Incompetent -- two qualities which Zev lacks

Patrick Range McDonald
Patrick Range McDonald

Very interesting thoughts. Not wanting to be the captain of a sinking ship could be one big reason Caruso and Yaroslavsky haven't announced yet. But Yaroslavsky will be termed out in 2014, so he can't stay on the board of supervisors forever.

Take care,Patrick Range McDonald,LA Weekly

Dead City
Dead City

I feel sorry for the city of LA....who wants to captain a sinking ship. Too many liberals.

Rick Abrams
Rick Abrams

Liberals? Tu tienes cacahuetes en la cabeza

RetiredD3
RetiredD3

Zev is one of the Five Little Kings of Los Angeles. He will never leave his secure, unlimited tenure as a Supervisor to run for a term-limit job like Mayor. The only other elected position he might consider is another Job for Life like Senator when Feinstein or Boxer finally pack it in.

Rick Abrams
Rick Abrams

You really know nothing about Zev, do you?

He's a mensch among goniffs.

teapartydoc
teapartydoc

The race to be captain of the Titanic has begun.

Robert
Robert

The winner will be Rick Caruso. He is well connected, smart, savvy and not afraid to go against the popular. He has done a lot citywide for communities, he a people person and knows how to fix this city. Zev, like the politicians we have nowadays has to answer for the millions of dollars the supervisors tried to hide from the public at their own disposal. The County supervisors have failed on key issues. The other saying all over the City of LA is no one from inside City Hall. Beutner is considered an outsider with no name recognition. Jan Perry is lame and considered in the pockets of AEG. Wendy is getting slammed for her audits yet she's failed at having any type of solutions to collect $543 million owed the City. Garcetti is just a flake who flip flops at every turn and created the mess at Vine St project and they're all in bed with CRA hiding over a billion from the people of LA. NO, no insiders from City Hall or any politician now in office.

Rose Mary
Rose Mary

I never think I can meet my perfect wealthy soulmate in my life, But it really happened !!!

:P :P :P ------- ~~ M eet ing Ri ch * c/-0 m ~~---------a nice c l ub I joined one week ago. It's amazing!!! He send me a message, he is a certified millionare!!! We sent some emails and have a date soon.

He is so sweet, so perfect !!I LOVE YOU ~ RI CH FLI RTS * C0 /M~!!!

patsaouras
patsaouras

Patrick, I guess LA Weekly needs some story to fill space ,and they decided who should run, for Mayor, rather than who is REALLY considering running. Again, the field is going to be Yaroslavsky, Perry, Beutner and James. We`ll see whether I`m an idiot or a genius..........

Patrick Range McDonald
Patrick Range McDonald

Good to hear your thoughts, Mr. P. I'm wondering what other readers think, too.

Take care,Patrick Range McDonald,LA Weekly

 
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